Probability theory the logic of science volume i principles and elementary applications chapter 1 plausible reasoning 1 deductive and plausible reasoning 1 analogies with physical theories 3 the thinking computer 4 introducing the robot 5 boolean algebra 6 adequate sets of operations 9 the basic desiderata 12 comments 15 common language vs formal logic 16 nitpicking 18 chapter 2 the . Something like the theory expounded here will become the conventional probability theory of the future history the present form of this work is the result of an evolutionary growth over many years my interest in probability theory was stimulated first by reading the work of harold jeffreys. Going beyond the conventional mathematics of probability theory this study views the subject in a wider context it discusses new results along with applications of probability theory to a variety of problems the book contains many exercises and is suitable for use as a textbook on graduate level courses involving data analysis. Probability theory the logic of science e t jaynes edited by g larry bretthorst mem cambridge university press contents part i editor s foreword preface principles and elementary applications page xvii xix 1 plausible reasoning 3 11 deductive and plausible reasoning 3 12 analogies with physical theories 6 13 the thinking computer 7 14 introducing the robot 8 15 boolean algebra 9 16